USDCAD: Stuck in a Range, Eyes on 1.3977 and 1.3092

USDCAD has been trapped in a lateral dance between 1.3092 and 1.3977 for months, frustrating traders with its indecisiveness. The pair recently flirted with a downside break but held ground at 1.3092, suggesting that another push towards the upper bound at 1.3977 could be in the cards over the coming weeks.

Bullish Bias:

  • The recent bounce off 1.3092 reinforces the underlying bullish sentiment within the long-term uptrend that started at 1.2006.
  • A breakout above 1.3977 would be a significant signal, potentially reigniting the uptrend and paving the way for a climb towards the next resistance level at 1.4667, the previous high.
  • This scenario would indicate increased buying pressure for the US dollar against the Canadian dollar.

Bearish Potential:

  • While the immediate outlook favors upside, a failure to conquer 1.3977 could lead to a pullback, with 1.3092 acting as the first line of defense.
  • A breakdown below 1.3092 would be a major bearish signal, potentially invalidating the long-term uptrend and triggering a decline towards the next support level around 1.2500.
  • This would suggest a weakening US dollar and strengthening Canadian dollar.


  • This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
  • Market conditions can change rapidly, so be sure to stay updated on the latest developments and adjust your trading strategies accordingly.