Daily FX perspective November 26, 2012 – GFM Research

The Dollar Index falls again from 81.20 ranges from where it has sold off during September. Currently it is trading at 80.30 with 79.90-80.00 acting as important support. Daily close below 79.80 would result in further depreciation of the US Dollar against the FX majors.

The benchmark equity index (.DJIA) is trading at 12950 after finding support at the medium term support of 12450-12500 ranges. Only daily close below 12400 would put major trend at jeopardy else as the index consistently trades beyond 13300, major rally reinitiates.

Historic correlation between DX Vs DJIA suggests the long-term trend is still dollar bearish till the Dollar Index is not closing above 84.50 on monthly basis.


FX Pair     Trend               Resistance 2    Resistance 1    Support 1    Support 2


EURUSD    Up                             1.3125              1.3030          1.2920          1.2870
USDJPY    Sideways                      83.30                82.80            82.00            81.50
GBPUSD    Up                                  –                 1.6130           1.5980          1.5930
USDCHF    Down                         0.9360              0.9320          0.9240          0.9210
EURJPY     Up                             108.40              107.60          106.10          105.50
AUDUSD    Sideways-Up               1.0630              1.0540          1.0440          1.0400


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