Technical analysis on the major as of June 17th 2011

Please find hereafter our daily update on the majors as of June 17th 2011.

(Click on the dedicated link to access our forum post with the chart).

 

  • EUR/USD
    As explained in our previous analysis, the EUR/USD has confirmed a bounce on top of 1,41 with a break above 1,42 and an acceleration towards the former support at 1,4320.
    Technically, the pair is drawing a nice morning star pattern which coincides with the 20 moving average on the weekly chart.
    As a result, we might see a continuation of this bounce towards 1,45 (previous high) unless the market breaks down below 1,41.

    Link to ATF Forum post : EUR/USD

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  • GBP/USD
    Today, the Cable has confirmed its bounce on top of 1,61 corresponding to the lower bollinger band on the daily chart.
    Considering that the pair is evolving in a trading range between 1,61 and 1,66 we might see a continuation of the move to the upside with an immediate target at 1,63 (20 moving average).
    Only a break below 1,61 would invalidate this bullish resumption and expose 1,60 and probably further down.

    Link to ATF Forum post : GBP/USD

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  • USD/JPY
    The USD/JPY didn’t manage to hold a bullish momentum as it failed ahead of the 81,00 resistance corresponding to the daily 20 moving average.
    The pair is now under intense pressure again with a weekly close near the critical level at 80,00. A continuation below this support would validate a bearish resumption with a next target at 79,50.
    Only a break above 81,00 would leviate this downside pressure.

    Link to ATF Forum post : USD/JPY

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  • USD/CHF
    We continue to support the idea of a significant bounce on the USD/CHF.
    The pair has confirmed a material base on top of its historical low (0,8330) and the daily are pointing to further gains.
    We still need to see though a break above 0,8550 to confirm a continuation to the upside with a next target in the 0,88 area. Only a break back below the weekly low at 0,8350 would invalidate this bullish outlook.

    Link to ATF Forum post : USD/CHF

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  • USD/CAD
    We are a bit confused with the USD/CAD which remains choppy and difficult to read.
    The pair has proved an ability to move upward after on sharp bounce on top of the multi-year low at 0,95. However, it didn’t manage to clear a strong resistance at 0,98 despite a new fresh high at 0,99.
    Today, we did see the pair consolidating around this critical level to finally draw a second spike in a row on the daily chart. This is a sign of reversal or at least consolidation.
    We will stay on the sidelines until a clear trend emerges.

    Link to ATF Forum post : USD/CAD

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  • AUD/USD
    As expected, the AUD/USD has confirmed its bounce on top of the bottom of its daily range (1,05).
    The pair has quickly reached the 20 moving average at 1,06. We might now see a continuation towards 1,07.
    Only a break below the critical level at 1,05 would invalidate this bullish outlook.

    Link to ATF Forum post : AUD/USD

Notice : the technical analysis are given for information purpose only. There is no entry timing so you will have to build your own strategy based on these recommendations.
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