USDCAD Analysis – Feb 14, 2009

No changed in our view, USDCAD formed a sideways consolidation in a range between 1.1464 and 1.3015 for several months. The price action from 1.3015 is more likely a triangle pattern. Consolidation in a range between 1.1761 and 1.2765 is still in favor in a couple of weeks, and pullback to 1.1850-1.1900 area would more likely be seen by the end of consolidation. Long term key resistance is located at 1.3015, a break above this level will signal the resumption of the long term uptrend from 0.9056 (Nov 7, 2007 low).

For long term analysis, USDCAD remains in bullish movement, and the price action from 1.3015 is treated as consolidation of long term up trend. Further rise towards 1.4000 to reach the next cycle top on monthly chart is expected.

usdcad daily chart