EUR/USD 1.2904 – 16 July 2010

EUR/USD Open 1.2918 High 1.2953 Low 1.2707 Close 1.2936

On Thursday Euro/Dollar continued rising significantly. The European currency appreciated from 1.2707 to 1.2953 yesterday, not exactly matching the weak positive Interbank sentiment projection, at nearly +5%, closing the day at 1.2936. This morning the pair is consolidating so far. On the 1 and 3 hour charts the upward channel was renewed and is intact. Break above the nearest resistance and yesterday’s top at 1.2953 may trigger further recovery of the Euro. Going bellow yesterday’s bottom and first support at 1.2707, however, would confirm continuation of the bearish trend, towards next objective downwards 1.2600. Today’s focus is on Germany Wholesale at 6 GMT. Quotes are moving just above the 20 and 50 EMA on the 1 hour chart, indicating slim bullish pressure. The value of the RSI indicator is positive and declining, MACD is positive and calm, while CCI has crossed up the 100 line on the 1 hour chart, giving overall light long signals.

Technical resistance levels: 1.2953 1.3040 1.3151
Technical support levels: 1.2707 1.2600 1.2488

Trading range: 1.2890 – 1.2965
Trend: Upward
Buy at 1.2904 SL 1.2874 TP 1.2954

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