Daily FX perspective October 15, 2012 – GFM Research

The Dollar Index gains more than 40 points amidst weaker asset classes especially the equities. The Greenback gained most against the Common currency, the Cable and the Swiss Franc where as trading flat against the Aussie. Currently the short term trend is range bound between 80.40 and 79.00.

The benchmark equity index (.DJIA) is currently trading weak at 13320 ranges with immediate support seen at 13260-13280 ranges. Only daily close below 13170 would halt rally; though 2007 highs of 14000 ranges would act as major barrier.

Historic correlation between DX Vs DJIA suggests the long-term trend is still dollar bearish till the Dollar Index is not closing above 84.50 on monthly basis. Even the medium term trend has turned bearish after the Dollar Index breached 81.00 ranges and with immediate support seen in 78.70-78.20 ranges.

FX Pair      Trend             Resistance 2    Resistance 1    Support 1    Support 2

EURUSD     Sideways                  1.3070             1.3020           1.2820         1.2750
USDJPY     Sideways                    79.20               78.60             78.00           77.45
GBPUSD     Sideways-Down         1.6140             1.6065           1.6020         1.5960
USDCHF     Sideways                  0.9440              0.9410           0.9295         0.9240
EURJPY      Sideways                 103.00              102.50           100.60           99.60
AUDUSD    Sideways                  1.0300              1.0265           1.0200         1.0160

GFM Research Private Limited

Economic Data Source: www.briefing.com
GMT- Greenwich Mean Time, ET-Eastern Time (U.S), IST-Indian Standard Time

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