Daily FX perspective September 24, 2012 – GFM Research

The Dollar Index is trading firm at 79.60 after finding support at 78.70 ranges; further fall in the Greenback is expected only on the Dollar Index consistently trading below 78.00 ranges. Though the major trend is bearish, the USD seems to be over sold in short-term. The benchmark equity index of the Dow Industrials (.DJIA) is currently trading firm at 13556 ranges; only daily close below 13170 would halt rally; though 2007 highs of 14000 ranges would act as major barrier.

Historic correlation between DX Vs DJIA suggests the long-term trend is still dollar bearish till the Dollar Index is not closing above 84.50 on monthly basis. Even the medium term trend has turned bearish after the Dollar Index breached 81.00 ranges and the index seems to be consolidating in 78.70-78.20 ranges.

NYMEX Crude trading weak at $92.25 after finding support at intermittent support of $91.00 ranges. Short term trend is weak and may test $87.15 ranges with $94.10 range still acting as resistance.


FX Pair      Trend                Resistance 2    Resistance 1    Support 1    Support 2

EURUSD     Down                          1.3050            1.3000           1.2910          1.2830
USDJPY     Sideways                       79.00               78.40            77.60            77.40
GBPUSD     Down                          1.6280            1.6230           1.6170          1.6060
USDCHF     Up                               0.9430            0.9410          0.9300           0.9270
EURJPY     Sideways-Down              102.30            101.80          100.70           100.20
AUDUSD    Sideways-Down              1.0530            1.0500          1.0370           1.0340

GFM Research Private Limited



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