USD/JPY analysis (July 11, 2011)

The pair is now back under pressure and we see additional weakness going forward.
Technically, the roll-over from 81,50 combined with overbought studies are pointing to a new test of 80,00 critical level.

USD/JPY: daily chart

We change our view on the USD/JPY which never managed to pick up steam despite a potential material base built on top of 80,00 tested several times.
We now look forward to seeing how the market participants will react on the 80,00 support. A break below this support will probably accelerate the decline with a next target at 79,00 (lower bollinger band).

Only a break above 81,50 would negate the downside pressure for a possible confirmation of a major shift in the trend.