Daily FX perspective November 16, 2012 – GFM Research

The Dollar Index is trading at 81.20 with 81.00-81.20 ranges still acting as short term resistance; the USD has traded mixed wherein it has lost more than 50 pips against the Euro and the Swiss Franc, about 40 pips against the Cable where as USD gained by about 100 pips against the Japanese Yen and about 30 pips against the Aussie. The Dollar Index is expected to again find resistance at 81.00-81.20 ranges from where is sold off during September last.

The benchmark equity index (.DJIA) after slipping below the critical support of 12980 continued to sell off to currently trade at 12535 ranges; 12450-12500 may act as medium term support.

Historic correlation between DX Vs DJIA suggests the long-term trend is still dollar bearish till the Dollar Index is not closing above 84.50 on monthly basis.


FX Pair     Trend              Resistance 2    Resistance 1    Support 1    Support 2


EURUSD    Sideways                   1.2855              1.2810          1.2710          1.2680
USDJPY    Sideways-Up                81.60                81.35            80.40            80.00
GBPUSD    Sideways                   1.5920              1.5890          1.5830          1.5790
USDCHF    Sideways                   0.9540              0.9490          0.9390          0.9360
EURJPY    Sideways-Up              105.40               104.50          102.80          102.10
AUDUSD   Sideways                   1.0400              1.0370          1.0290           1.0260


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