13th February, 2012 – Daily Forex Report by GFM Research

With the US Dollar Index is approaching critical support of 78.20, DXH2 may become sideways between 79.40 and 78.20. Dow Jones Industrials is trading at the last year highs of 12900 ranges; DJIA Vs DX correlation suggests a word of caution though the major trend of the Greenback is bearish and the major trend of the Dow is bullish, both may trade sideways before resuming respective trends. Only consistent close above 13000 would reinitiate major rally in the Dow Industrials.
The long-term trend is still bearish till the Dollar Index does not close above 83.50 on monthly basis. Historic congestion is seen in the ranges of 81.40-83.50. Historic correlation between DX Vs DJIA is signifying USD bearishness in long-term, only if 83.50 is given away on monthly closing basis; long-term bottom would be posted in the USD.
NYMEX Feb Crude after couple of subdued trading sessions, rallied smartly from $95.00 ranges to currently trade firm at $99.60 ranges. Correlation between CLH2 and DJIA has again turned positive. The major trend is intact till it manages to close consistently above $89.00 ranges on weekly basis; the short term trend is also turning bullish targeting $101.50 ranges.


FX Pair     Trend                Support 2       Support 1      Resistance 1     Resistance 2


EURUSD      Sideways              1.3100            1.3180            1.3335            1.3370
USDJPY       Sideways                77.10               77.30              77.75             78.10
GBPUSD      Sideways              1.5630            1.5690            1.5850            1.5930
USDCHF   Sideways-Down       0.8990            0.9060            0.9145            0.9160
EURJPY       Sideways              101.60            102.00            103.30            103.80
AUDUSD  Sideways-Up             1.0620           1.0660            1.0750            1.0830


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Disclaimer: This report contains the views of GFM Research Private Limited. This report should not be construed as investment/trading advice. Due care is taken when gathering the data/information and the data sources are believed to be reliable, though GFM Research Private Limited nor its Group Companies guarantee for the same. Trading/investing in financial markets may result in financial and/or emotional stress, a trader/investor is advised to weigh pros and cons of trading/investing. Further disclaimer will be produced on request.