EURUSD Analysis – Mar 1, 2008

EURUSD rises sharply to as high as 1.5238 level. Further rally to 1.5400 area to reach the next cycle top on daily chart is still possible next week. Near term support is at 1.5050 and followed by 1.4950. As long as 1.5050 support holds, we’d expect up trend to continue, only break of 1.4950 level will indicate that the up trend from 1.4438 has completed.

For long term analysis, EURUSD is moving to the next cycle top on weekly chart, and the next cycle top is nearing. Long term key support is now at 1.4438, a break below this level will indicate that the long term up trend from 1.1639 (Nov 2005 low) has completed, and pull back to 1.4000 area is expected to follow.

eurusd daily chart