Short term USDJPY Elliott wave view suggest that the decline from 7/11 peak is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure. Decline to 108.71 low ended Minor wave W and Minor wave X bounce ended at 110.95 peak. Subdivision of Minor wave Y is unfolding as a Zigzag structure. Minute wave ((w)) of ((Y) ended at 108.59 low and Minute wave ((x)) of (Y) bounce is proposed complete at 109.82.
However, a break below 108.59 is needed to add conviction to this view. Until then a double correction in Minutte wave ((x)) can’t be ruled out. Near term, as far as pivot from 110.95 peak stays intact, expect pair to extend lower in Minute wave ((y)) or pullback in 3 waves at least. We don’t advise buying the pair and expect more downside in the pair towards 107.46-106.92 area next before a bounce is seen.
USDJPY 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
Double Three is the most important pattern in Elliott wave’s new theory and probably the most common pattern in the market these days. Double three is also known as a 7-swing structure. It is a very reliable pattern that gives traders a good opportunity to trade with a well-defined level of risk and target areas. The image below shows what Elliott Wave Double Three looks like. It has labels (W), (X), (Y) and an internal structure of 3-3-3. This means that all 3 legs has corrective sequences. Each (W) and (Y) is formed by 3 wave oscillations and has a structure of A, B, C or W, X, Y of smaller degrees.