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Wednesday, 20 August 2008 |
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The USD Showed That What Goes Up Must Come Down
The greenback experienced a trading session of mixed results
yesterday. Soon after the trading day began, the USD reached a 6 month
record against the EUR as the pair fell to a rate of 1.4630. However,
it was a straight or shall we say "strait" downfall for the USD ever
since, as the cross rose to breach the 1.4800 level. |
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Wednesday, 20 August 2008 |
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Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD finally weakens • Volumes a bit lower • US news no help Overnight Preview • Look for consolidation • USD likely to have a weaker bias mid-week Looking Ahead to Wednesday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 10:35am USD Crude Oil Inventories Another light day for the Greenback. |
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Tuesday, 19 August 2008 |
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Today’s US Dollar Trading • Greenback unable to extend gains • Volumes light • Big news out tomorrow may have sidelined traders Overnight Preview • Look for two-way action, consolidation • Possible follow-on selling in Asia to start Looking Ahead All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Building Permits • 8:30am USD PPI m/m • 8:30am USD Core PPI m/m • 8:30am USD Housing Starts • 10:00am USD FOMC Member Fisher Speaks |
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Monday, 18 August 2008 |
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Overnight Asia/Europe • Quiet start overnight, USD range-bound • Volumes lower • Technical trade dominates due to lack of news Today’s Economic Reports All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 1:00pm USD NAHB Housing Market Index Very light start to the week, light news from overseas as well. Looking Ahead All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Building Permits • 8:30am USD PPI m/m • 8:30am USD Core PPI m/m • 8:30am USD Housing Starts • 10:00am USD FOMC Member Fisher Speaks |
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Thursday, 14 August 2008 |
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CPI Data On Tap.
The USD completed yesterday's trading session with mixed
results versus its major rival currencies. During the first half of the
day, the U.S. dollar eased versus the euro and the yen after government
reports showed that Retail Sales fell 0.1% in July, below the 0.5%
expected by analysts. The greenback retreated from earlier gains after
concerns over gasoline supply following a U.S. inventory report showed
that crude stockpiles and refined product supplies fell last week,
declining to its lowest levels since last 10 years. |
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Thursday, 14 August 2008 |
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Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD whipsaws hard • Volumes patchy • GBP falls to new lows Overnight Preview • USD likely to consolidate • Volumes likely to drop ahead of US data tomorrow Looking Ahead All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Core CPI m/m • 8:30am USD CPI m/m • 8:30am USD Unemployment Claims • 10:35am USD Natural Gas Storage • 2:30pm USD FOMC Member Stern Speaks |
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Wednesday, 13 August 2008 |
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Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD ends mixed-to-weaker • Official names selling rallies • Majors ready to rally Overnight Preview • Look for more consolidation with a lower boas Looking Ahead to Wednesday All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Core Retail Sales m/m • 8:30am USD Retail Sales m/m • 8:30am USD Import Price Index m/m • 10:00am USD Business Inventories m/m • 10:35am USD Crude Oil Inventories |
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Tuesday, 12 August 2008 |
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Will a Bearish Correction Take Place?
Yesterday, the USD rallied against all the major
counterparts. The EUR/USD dropped over 150 pips, descending below the
1.4900 level. The dollar experienced similar sessions vs. the GBP and
the CHF as well.
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Friday, 08 August 2008 |
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USD looks to test 1.50.
The USD underwent a bullish trading session yesterday, as it
appreciated against all of its major currency rivals. The dollar rose
0.5% and closed under 1.5320 versus the euro in yesterday's trading
session. Also, the USD saw steady gains against the GBP and CHF. The
greenback saw significant bullishness yesterday as the Pending Home
Sales beat our forecasts which showed an expected rise of 1%. Instead,
the indicator rose 5.3% and added to another day of surprising US
economic data supporting the USD. The indicator was also the first real
sign of housing improvement in the US in recent history. Although
foreclosures are accounted for in the figure, it is nice to see some
positive housing numbers out of the US to support the latest bullish
trend for the greenback in Forex trading. Yesterday's numbers mark the
second positive pending home sales this quarter, in June homes sales
saw a 6.3% rise. In addition, the gain in pending home sales offset a
bleak U.S. jobless claims report which saw a 35K rise from the expected
mark of 420K. The swing in home sales, despite jobless data adds even
more to the growing speculation that the housing sector has hit its
bottom and will now begin to see steady growth. The data also backed
expectations of U.S. rate hikes this year, which has fueled a rebound
in the dollar over the past two weeks. Today we can expect a slower
pace to the news cycle from the US as 3 events of lesser significance
will be released. Preliminary Nonfarm Productivity and Unit Labor Costs
along with Wholesale Inventories are forecasted to see positive gains,
but should contribute little to volatility. If data returns inline with
expectations we should see the Dollar's resurrection continue as
traders will look to infuse bullish USD positions. |
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Thursday, 07 August 2008 |
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Today’s US Dollar Trading • USD finds stops above yesterday’s highs • Holds gains into the close • Volumes on the lighter side Overnight Preview • Look for the USD to retrace a bit • Quiet ahead of the rate announcements Looking Ahead All times EASTERN (-5 GMT) • 8:30am USD Unemployment Claims • 10:00am USD Pending Home Sales m/m • 10:35am USD Natural Gas Storage • 3:00pm USD Consumer Credit m/m Rate announcements due from overseas also, could be a big day for the USD. |
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